Houston Astros Baseball

A HOUSTON ASTROS BLOG

ASTROS SIGN MATSUI

Written by Baqqs on 9:48 PM

Barring some unforeseen developments, the Astros will sign free-agent second baseman Kazuo Matsui.

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The Chicago Cubs and Colorado Rockies, his current team, also have coveted Matsui.

Without addressing Matsui, new Astros general manager Ed Wade stuck to his policy of not commenting on specific players until a contract is done.

"We don't have a deal done with anyone," said Wade. "As has been the case all offseason, when we get a deal done with someone we'll announce it."

Nonetheless, it has been no secret that the Astros have prized Matsui to the point that Wade actually flew down to Los Angeles last week to meet with Matsui's agent, Arn Tellem.

Tellem has not returned numerous phone calls from the Chronicle in recent weeks.

Matsui, 32, has a .272 career batting average over four seasons in the majors since leaving the Japanese League.

He spent his first 2½ seasons in the majors with the New York Mets before being traded to the Colorado Rockies on June 9, 2006.

Helping the Rockies win the National League pennant and reach the World Series for the first time in franchise history, Matsui hit .288 with four home runs, six triples, 37 RBIs and 32 stolen bases this past season.

With Matsui, the Astros will get a veteran second baseman to replace the hole left by franchise icon Craig Biggio, who retired this year after 20 seasons with the club.

Free agent Mark Loretta and Chris Burke were the club's other options at second base.
(Houston chronicle)

Baseball America Top Prospects

Written by Baqqs on 12:08 PM

Astros Top Ten Prospects
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1. J.R. Towles, c
2. Felipe Paulino, rhp
3. Troy Patton, lhp
4. Juan Gutierrez, rhp
5. Michael Bourn, of
6. Mike Costanzo, 3b
7. Bud Norris, rhp
8. Brad James, rhp
9. Chad Reineke, rhp
10. Eli Iorg, of

Best Tools

Best Hitter for Average (Jonny Ash)
Best Power Hitter (Mike Costanzo)
Best Strike-Zone Discipline (Jonny Ash)
Fastest Baserunner (Michael Bourn)
Best Athlete (Devon Torrence)
Best Fastball (Felipe Paulino)
Best Curveball (Bud Norris)
Best Slider (Char Reineke)
Best Changeup (Samuel Gervacio)
Best Control (Troy Patton)
Best Defensive Catcher (J.R. Towles)
Best Defensive Infielder (Tommy Manzella)
Best Infield Arm (Mike Constanzo)
Best Defensive Outfielder (Michael Bourn)
Best Outfield Arm (Jordan Parraz)

-Personal Note:
I have a very strong feeling that J.R. Towles is going to be something special.

-2006 Top Ten Prospects
Click Here

-Great Older Article About Towles
Click Here

Bill James 2008 Projections

Written by Baqqs on 11:57 AM

Bourn ..............276/.350/.358/.708

-Matsui.............294/.350/.435/.785
-Iguchi.............287/.365/.444/.810
-Burke..............258/.327/.398/.725

Pence...............306/.357/.538/.895
Berkman.............290/.408/.546/.954
Lee.................291/.342/.512/.866
Wiggy...............269/.332/.454/.786
Towles..............293/.355/.462/.817
Everett.............246/.295/.348/.656

Scott...............277/.365/.526/.891

Oswalt..............14/9-3.51-210IP
Backe...............4/8-4.88-120IP
Wandy...............9/12-4.72-185IP
Patton..............N/A
Woody...............7/8-4.37-140IP

Sampson.............4/4-4.03-67IP
Qualls..............5/4-3.83-80IP
Sarfate.............N/A
Villareal...........4/3-4.02-65IP
Geary...............4/4-4.14-74IP
Brocail.............5/4-3.75-84IP

Lidge...............5/3-3.44-68IP (24sv)
Gagne...............4/2-3.00-54IP (32sv)
Cordero.............4/2-3.54-61IP (44sv)
Nathan..............5/3-2.70-70IP (40sv)
Linebrink...........5/3-3.60-70IP
Wood................4/3-3.75-60IP
Percival............4/2-3.26-52IP

Wolf................5/6-4.32-100IP
Dontrelle W.........12/11-4.22-209IP
Jennings............7/10-4.86-150IP
Lieber..............10/8-4.04-167IP

Poll Results (Nov. 27)

Written by Baqqs on 11:50 AM

Who Should Be 2B ?

Matsui....3
Iguchi....5
Burke.....2
Loretta...1

Sign Gagne Already !!!

Written by Baqqs on 12:49 AM

With the closer market collapsing in front of our eyes, the acquisition of a quality closer seems very near. Eric Gagne was my favorite if Cordero was unavailable or too expensive, in this case both. Gagne, wasn’t spectacular in Boston which will prove to only help us or any team interested in Eric. Although Gagne’s meltdown in Boston was seen by the entire country I believe that he is MUCH better than his numbers for The Red Sox would indicate. First, lets put this all into context. Eric Gagne was traded to his boyhood favorite team in the heat of a pennant race and placed in a set up role, not as closer. With the pressure of the 2nd largest market team and the addition of a playoff race I believe that Gagne was poorly represented. This of course, serves all of those looking to sign him as a good thing. Even though his agent, Scott Boras is one of the most hated agents in baseball, and Drayton wouldn’t want to deal with Boras, this deal could help both sides and should be examined. His value has undoubtedly declined which would indicate that he should receive around a 2 year 10-11ish Million dollar deal. All this for a closer who currently hold the HIGHEST save percentage in history. I have written all about Gagne and compared him to the current market competition, and to me Dotel, Wood, and Percival all seem like bigger risks to me. If you look at Gagne’s 2007 season and break down the numbers you will see that his stats look similar to a power hitters slump. His bread and butter, the strikeout, hasn’t gone anywhere. In fact, with Boston Gagne had a better K/9 ratio that his career avg. at 10.61K/9IP. His HR/9 were down as well. Gagne faltered because of an inflated WHIP. If you are unfamiliar, WHIP basically holds a pitcher responsible for all batters that reach base with a hit, hit-by-pitch, or walk. For Eric, his WHIP in Boston was FAR greater than his career avg. Some have attributed this to loose command in response to the pressure and expectations of Boston. You test this against a low market team, like The Rangers and you can see how he pitches when he is on.
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TAG this image
2007 (W/ Rangers) 2.16 ERA/ 1.05WHIP/ 7.8K/9 /3.2BB/9 - 16/17Saves

It’s crazy to think that he actually struck more people per 9IP when he was with the Red Sox. In my opinion, by bringing Gagne to both the NL and a low market team, he will have the perfect setting to stage his comeback. Gagne will have a chance to show the world why he was one of the only closers to ever win a Cy Young award.

To read more about his career and comparable stats to other available closers check out some older posts.


http://houstonstros.blogspot.com/2007/11/closer-to-closer.html

Reds Ink Cordero

Written by Baqqs on 11:32 PM

CINCINNATI -- The Reds made a huge move to improve the National League's lowest-ranked bullpen on Friday by agreeing to a four-year, $46 million contract with former Brewers closer Francisco Cordero.

A source familiar with the negotiations confirmed the deal with MLB.com. It comes with a $12 million club option for the 2012 season and a $1 million buyout. The signing is pending a physical next week.

In terms of guaranteed money, Cordero's contract would be the largest ever for a reliever.

Cordero is at his home in the Dominican Republic and isn't expected to come to Cincinnati until Tuesday or Wednesday.

Reached Friday evening, Reds general manager Wayne Krivsky would not confirm that his team landed Cordero.

"There's no deal," Krivsky said. "We've had conversations, I can tell you that. There's nothing to announce. That's where it stands."

But Brewers GM Doug Melvin said that agent Bean Stringfellow informed him on Thursday that Cordero had chosen Cincinnati. Milwaukee offered $42 million over four years with a $13 million option for a fifth year, but apparently came up short.

"It's about setting the bar. Now they have a new bar for relief pitchers," Melvin said. "Francisco is a very good pitcher, and it's definitely going to help Cincinnati and hurt us. ... We thought that we made him a very solid offer. A million dollars a year more, who knows? With these high salaries this year, who knows what is enough. If we would have been at $44 [million] or $45 [million], would he have chosen us? I don't know. We never got the opportunity top go there. [Stringfellow] never came to us and said, 'Will you go there? We had people who thought we were bidding against ourselves last week."

Cordero, 32, was one of the top closers available on the market this winter. In 66 appearances for Milwaukee this past season, he was 0-4 with a 2.98 ERA and 44 saves in 51 chances. He is a two-time All-Star, including in 2007.

According to the source, the Astros were also vying for Cordero's services against Cincinnati and Milwaukee.

A nine-year veteran of the Tigers, Rangers and Brewers, Cordero has 177 career saves and a 3.29 lifetime ERA. He had a career high of 49 saves with Texas in 2004.

Assuming Cordero passes his physical and joins Cincinnati, current closer David Weathers would likely move back into a setup role. Weathers had 33 saves for the Reds in 2007. The club's back end of the bullpen is also bolstered with right-hander Jared Burton, a rookie who emerged as a strong eighth-inning option.

Fixing the bullpen was one of the Reds' top priorities during this offseason. Last season, Cincinnati relievers posted a 23-31 record, a league-high 5.13 ERA and converted 34 of 61 saves.

Closer Importance

Written by Baqqs on 4:32 PM

The Houston Astros GM Ed Wade has made it clear that he is “bullpen crazy.” Crazy in a good way of course. He loves to offer our starters support and security in the form of a reliable bullpen. Sounds good right? Well it is, in 2007 The Astros had 25 Blown Saves. This is outrageous considering we only had 63 save opportunities. That leaves the Astros ranked 25th out of 30 with a save percentage of 60. This is significant because the better teams are teams with good bullpens. Example, guess who had the highest save percentage? The Red Sox had a save percentage of 80 leading all of baseball and won the World Series. Now, you may say well they won because of their potent lineup. This is a valid argument, however The New York Yankees with their extremely potent lineup barely made it into the post season and where quickly disposed of by a much younger and cheaper Indians. My point? The Yankees ranked 23rd of all teams in save percentage, where as the Indians ranked 2nd, with 78%.

Out of the top ten teams in save percentage all of them seem expected except one. The Texas Rangers ranked 6th in all of baseball with only 14 total blown saves over the 2007 season. This largely because of the success of their former closer Eric Gagne. Gagne leads all closers ever with a save percentage of 96.6%. His supremacy continued the first half of the 2007 season with The Rangers by converting 16 of 17 saves. I bring this up because at the same time Brad Lidge was with the Astros blowing 8 of 27 save opportunities. Where as Gagne has only blown 10 saves in the last 187 save opportunities.

For all of those like me who really, really like Roy Oswalt and feel bad that he has never been awarded a Cy Young award, think about this. What if Gagne was with the Astros in ‘07. If you take Gagne’s 2007 save percentage and applied it to the Astros 2007 save opportunities (63), over that whole span he would have blown only 4 saves. I understand at the same time that Gagne most likely would not have been in line for all those saves because of days rest or any other reasons, however my point is pretty clear. How many more games do you think Oswalt would have won this year if Lidge converted 95% of his save opportunities? Now some of you will also argue that Gagne stunk once he was traded to The Red Sox, and he did. However, Gagne wasn’t their closer and was thrown into the bright lights of Boston with very high expectations in a different role in the heat of a playoff race.

Should Gagne be our closer? I don’t know, I am not trying to persuade anyone that Gagne is some super hero who will fix our team. I am just trying to point out the important of a strong back end of a bullpen. Regardless of who Wade decides to be our new closer, I am confident that not only will we win more games, but our starters will be less likely to pitch longer into games, lessening the chances of injury and shortening games. Which will be extremely important with pitchers like Sampson and Patton in the mix. Just think, we were only 12 games out of 1st place this year, what if we only blew half as many saves. We would have made the playoffs!


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Infield Almost Set

Written by Baqqs on 10:22 AM

Over the past week rumors have been swirling about who will be replacing Biggio as The Astros 2 bagger. From where I've read, it seems like Castillo was number one on the Astros wish list. That ship sailed when Castillo resigned with The Mets in a 4 year deal. That may work out to The Astros benefit. Four years looks to be a little long for the aging burner. This leaves Asian imports Iguchi and Matsui. Both of these 2B had respectable years in 2007, Iguchi with both the White Sox and Phillies. However, with the recent rumors regarding a Matsui signing one must ask would Matsui really be an upgrade? It is clearly evident that Matsui was a better hitter at Coors field than on the road, but was that just luck? Or did the hitters park really justify a very large home/road spilt? If Matsui was signed, Wade would most likely try and package Burke with Scott and maybe a young arm to grab a solid #2 pitcher. If this is the case, then signing Matusi can be thought of as signing a #2 pitcher who wasn't available on the free agent market. The problem with this is no on but Wade knows. If Ken Rosentahl is right, as he believes Matusi will end up with either The Rockies or Cubs, then Wade should push full steam ahead for Iguchi who would be a very underrated improvement over both Burke and Matsui and at a cheaper price than Matsui. Iguchi would be the smart signing now, but has drawn interest from Brewers, Padres, Angels, and Rockies. A 2008 lineup with Iguchi batting #2 would solidify the Astros offense and would add some needed speed and on-base percentage.
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*Astros sign Geoff Blum to a one year deal. He will be the new Bruntlett.

Possible 2008 Batting Order

Bourn
Iguchi/ Matsui/ Burke
Pence
Berkman
Lee
Wigginton
Towles
Everett
P

Ed Wade's Performance So Far

Written by Baqqs on 8:22 PM

My take on Houston Astros GM Ed Wade's performance so far.

In the brief couple of months Ed Wade has shown us exactly what his priorities are and how he will go about addressing them. I have heard that he is being very vocal about his potential moves because he wants to appear busy. I would disagree with this statement because I truly be that Wade is trying to improve our team at any position. With the relatively few trading chips The Astros actually have, Wade was able to solve a couple of issues.

Going into this off-season, Wade had several apparent needs.

Needs:
1)A new CF
2)Bullpen help
3)Starting Pitching
4)A solid 2B

So far, Wade has addressed those top two priorities and done so in a very strong way. Let me explain. Wade has traded away our most prized trading chip, 1 year from a somewhat shaky Brad Lidge and Bruntlett for 12 combined years from Our new CF, a 3B prospect and bullpen help. It is very clear what Wade is doing here. He expressed the need for youth, speed, and defense, and Wade brought in very young speedy guys; starting with Abercrombie. Most recently he signed outfield prospect Yordany Ramirez. This guy has incredible defense and was wanted by several teams. That acquisition replaced Anderson with a younger better defensive outfielder. While doing all of this, he was able to get a reliable bullpen arm who is also very young. This was all made possible because of the recently hired scouting directors and assistants, it seems that those ties have already come in handy.
With the Acquisition of Villareal and Geary, on paper our bullpen will be substantially better in 2008(assuming a closer is landed). This takes care of number 2 on the list of needs. As far as starting pitching, very little is available in terms of free-agency, and The Astros lack whats needed to trade for a solid #2. This leads me to my next point. With both Ramirez and Abercrombie on the 40-man roster, and a new 2B seeming very likely, a trade involving both Burke and Scott seem like Wade's best bet to land pitching. A trade involving Burke, Scott, and a pitching prospect like Albers would have a good chance of lading a solid arm. With that trade and the addition of a closer, the 2008 Astros may have a chance to shock the world and compete. If Wade can pull this off when most thought it would take several years to accomplish, it would be a very good sign for The Astros. The cherry on top, The Astros have a protected top ten draft pick next year.

Astros Trade Anderson

Written by Baqqs on 4:53 PM

HOUSTON -- The Astros acquired reliever Oscar Villarreal from Atlanta in exchange for center fielder Josh Anderson on Friday in a move to bolster the back end of the bullpen.
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Astros general manager Ed Wade didn't stop there, as the club also initiated contact with free agent second baseman Tadahito Iguchi and signed outfielder Yordany Ramirez as part of a busy day that also saw the Astros keep the lines of communication open with the two free agent second baseman the club has already made contract offers to: Kaz Matsui and Luis Castillo.

In exchange for Anderson, a 25-year-old speedster who hit .358 with three doubles and 11 runs batted in during 21 games with the Astros in 2007, the Astros acquired a veteran right-hander who can provide late-inning relief alongside Chad Qualls.

"Making this deal was contingent on us being able to sign Yordany Ramirez," Wade said. "[Ramirez] is a developing player with a lot of upside, and this was a chance to stockpile a quality outfielder to the system."

Villarreal, who turns 26 on Nov. 22, was 2-2 with one save and a 4.24 ERA in 51 games for Atlanta in 2007. He has appeared in 223 career Major League games and owns a 23-12 record with one save and a 3.71 career ERA. Villarreal was acquired by the Braves in December 2005, along with right-hander Lance Cormier, in exchange for catcher Johnny Estrada. He was originally signed by Arizona as a non-drafted free agent on Nov. 6, 1998.

During his rookie season of 2003, Villarreal pitched in a National League rookie-record 86 games and finished 10-7 with a 2.57 ERA. His 86 appearances in 2003 also set the Major League record for the most in one season by a pitcher from Mexico, eclipsing the previous mark of 84, set by Enrique Romo of Pittsburgh in 1979.

"Oscar Villarreal gives us another experienced, durable arm for the bullpen," Wade said. "He has the ability to pitch late in a game, throw multiple innings and pitch back-to-back days. We gave up a good, young prospect in Josh Anderson, but with the additions of Michael Bourn and Yordany Ramirez, along with our earlier waiver claim of Reggie Abercrombie, we had the outfield depth to make this move."

Wade said the addition of Villarreal doesn't mean Qualls will be the club's new closer.

"This was done to add another quality arm to our bullpen," Wade said. "[The closer role] is something we have plenty of time to address."

Atlanta GM Frank Wren said the deal evolved quickly, as he and Wade didn't start discussing this particular trade until Thursday morning.

"It was kind of an offshoot of our GM show and tell [at the GM Meetings]," Wren said. "[Villarreal] wasn't going to be non-tendered. We like what he has done for us. I think we determined with some of our young players, who are out of options that we need to protect, that we could trade Oscar if the situation arose."

Wade said he called Wren after learning at the GM Meetings that Villarreal was available, and that the Braves were looking for a center fielder.

"But we wouldn't have made this trade without getting Ramirez signed," Wade said. "He's a guy a lot of teams wanted."

Anderson had an idea he might be traded after the Astros picked up Bourn from Philadelphia last week.

"I kind of thought something like this was coming, and when Ed Wade called [Friday], I had a feeling this was what he was calling about," Anderson said. "But I have no regrets. My time with Houston has been great. It's a great organization and they're a great bunch of guys, but I'm excited about going to the Braves.

"I'm very excited about it, my wife's excited about it, my whole family is excited about it. I have an aunt who lives in Atlanta, she's a big Braves fan, and my family's from Kentucky, so it's just a short drive down I-75. If I was going to get traded, Atlanta would have been in the top-two best places for me to get traded."

Anderson played in 132 games at Triple-A Round Rock, hitting .273 with two home runs, 43 RBIs, and 40 stolen bases. He was selected by Houston in the fourth round of the 2003 First-Year Player Draft.

Now, he could be the guy who succeeds free agent Andruw Jones as Atlanta's everyday center fielder.

"That would be an unbelievable honor," Anderson said. "He's been a great player for them for a long time. My goal going into the season is to start for somebody, and that hasn't changed. Obviously I have to do what I can do, I can't try to be Andruw Jones. But I'm very excited about the opportunity and looking forward to it."

Ramirez, formerly of the San Diego organization, was signed to a Major League contract that includes a spot on the 40-man roster.

Ramirez, 23, batted .269 with four homers, 43 RBIs and 22 stolen bases for Class A Lake Elsinore last season. He played 30 games at Triple-A Portland, where he hit .315 with four homers, 18 RBIs and six stolen bases. He is currently playing for Licey in the Dominican Winter League, hitting .344 (11-for-32) with five RBIs in 12 games.

In Baseball America's 2007 Best Tools Survey, Ramirez was tabbed as being the best defensive outfielder and the player with the best outfield arm in the San Diego organization.

"Yordany Ramirez ranks as one of the top defensive outfielders at the higher Minor League levels, and we think that he will continue to make significant progress with the bat," Wade said. "Felix Francisco, our recently hired director of Latin American scouting, originally signed Yordany while working for the San Diego Padres, and he thinks that Yordany will develop into a front-line big league player. There were several teams pursuing Ramirez, and we thought enough of his ability to sign him to a Major League contract."

Closer To A Closer ?

Written by Baqqs on 1:02 PM

Closer Free Agent Class

Cordero
Gagne
Wood
Dotel
Kieth Foulke
Rivera
Percival

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As soon as Brad Lidge was traded we all had to look up who was available in this year's Closer free agent class. Out of the seven or so "names" that are available to sign, the Astros have publicly expressed interest in two of them. Francisco Cordero who is undoubtedly the top Closer available, and Troy Percival. Troy is said to have interest from 8 teams, 4 or which would use him as a Closer. Troy hasn't been the main man in 3 years, in 2004 he posted 33 saves in 50 IP, with a dazzling 2.90 ERA. In 2005 Troy had a rough year and after dealing with a nagging forearm injury was forced to stop pitching and act as an advanced scout for the Tigers through the 2006 season. In 2007 Troy started as a minor league instructor but requested out of his contract to pursue a comeback. Troy made his first appearance back on June 29, 2007 and struck out his first batter. The rest of the season was a success and may have proved that his arm was truly finally healed.

2007 40IP/1.80ERA/0.85WHIP
Career 651IP/3.02ERA/1.10WHIP/324SV

After 12 seasons, 4 All-Star appearances, a Wold Series ring, and 12 all time for Saves, is Troy again ready to close?

Francisco Cordero
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-Cordero picked a good time to have a career year. In 2007 Fransisco doubled his previous year in saves with 44. He was selected to The All-Star team for the second time and was "DHL Delivery Man of the Month" in April. Cordero went 22 straight saves to open the season before blowing one. on June 9, 2007 he blew his first save of the season against his former team The Rangers. His numbers in 2007 were nothing short of amazing and because of this he will be anticipating lots of money over 4+ years. His success in '07 can be attributed to a higher than avg K/9 rate and a very low HR/9 rate. He is a great pitcher but at 32 he shouldn't be expecting a long contract.

2007 63IP/2.98ERA/1.10WHIP/44SV
Career 506IP/3.29ERA/1.35WHIP/177SV

Other Options

Gagne
-Eric Gagne should still be a closer worth mentioning. Although he fell apart in the bright lights of Boston, the fist half of 2007 Gagne had 16 saves and a 2.16 ERA with The Rangers. He is 4 years removed from his Cy Young Award and record setting season.
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In 2003, as a closer, Gagne was called upon 55 times to save a baseball game and converted every one of them en route to becoming both the first pitcher to record 50 saves in more than one season and also the fastest pitcher to ever reach the 100-save mark. Gagne's 55 saves in 2003 also equaled the National League record set the previous season by John Smoltz. Between August 26, 2002 and July 5, 2004, he converted 84 consecutive save chances, a major league record. More than half of the batters he retired during the 2003 season came by strikeout. Moving ahead, Prior to the 2007 season, Gagne has converted 161 saves out of 168 save opportunities for a conversion rate of 96.6%, the highest in Major League Baseball history for a pitcher with at least 100 saves.

Wood
-Kerry Wood would be a much cheaper alternative to either Gagne or Cordero, but that's because you never know what exactly you will get from Wood. Before his injures he posted 5 seasons out of 6 with an ERA in the 3's. This season, Wood made his return and impressed many with a 3.33ERA, 0 HR's, and a 9K/9IP ratio. Although this Texan native looks ready to return to the big stage and would prefer a high profile role as starter or closer it is worth noting that he has been on the DL 7 times all for either his right shoulder or tricep. Also, has had TJ surgery for his elbow in 1999.

Analyze The Lidge Trade

Written by Baqqs on 9:00 PM

The Day After:
I figured I would wait a day or two to discuss my opinion of this
trade based on the fact that in the past I have changed my mind
many times.

Analyzing this trade is tough to do because it's judgment
will be based on the performance of Micheal Bourn. His numbers
would lead us to believe that he is a high on base lefty who
can steal lots of bases. Also, as Wade has mentioned, speed and defense is the new mantra of the Astros. Does Bourn have speed and above avg defense? You bet! The addition of Bourn will at least stregthen the middle of the field by leaps and bounds. Would Torii Hunter have been better? Most likely, yes. But let me also ask you this. Is Hunter worth 17Mil a year plus the money we saved by loading Lidge? For those who say he is, would he be worth that still if we had a top prospect with a big upside under club control for 5 years making next to nothing? That's what I thought. It is my opinion that this trade will work out very well for the Astros in both the short and long run. This is why.

Houston native Bourn will be starting his career with a team that has made it clear he is there guy. He has the support of the front office and will be given the chance to shine. Under those circumstances, I beleive Bourn will not only live up to hype, but surpass it. It's true he is still very green, and because of that he will require time to adjust. This means that a .260 BA at the All Star break will not mean someone is getting fired. The fact that he was/is the #3 prospect in the Phillies system says alot(Behind ace Hamels). Within two short months our team has gotten younger and faster. Bourn averaged 41 stolen bases per year in the minors and with our new aggressive baserunning manager, you can bet he will be asked to continue. My favorite thing about Bourn is his plate discipline. Bourn's ratio of K's to BB's is very encouraging considering plate discipline will generally indicate how good a hitter you are or will be in the pros.

(Minors)
Bourn.......(339K/227BB)

Other than Micheal Bourn, the benefits of this trade aren't as transparent as you
would think.

Astros Lose:
One year of closer Brad Lidge (Arb eligible)
Utility man Bruntlett (Arb eligible)

Astros Get:
Brad's $6 Mil 2007 salary
5 Years of CF Micheal Bourn ($380,000)
6 Years of 3B prospect Costanzo (Min)
Strong RP Geary [Career 3.94ERA] ($837,000)
$10-17 Mil for not signing a CF free agent

If my instincts are right, I believe that there is no way that Wade could have traded our closer away without knowing who will be his replacement. Because of this, I believe Cordero will be our closer in '08. Which is GREAT! The money we saved will more than cover his salary. Now if you add Cordero to the "Astros get" side, is this trade worth it to you?
Also, consider now that since our outfield is set, we have two outfielders who could fit nicely in a trade. As I have hoped for a while, a package of Luke/Burke could be strong enough to fetch us one of The Twins young super pitchers coming up. If not, we should throw what we can out there for either Willis, Kazmir, Lincecum, or even consider Lowry.

In the end, only time will tell if this trade in fact works out for the Astros. But as I write this I can't help but remember only 6 months ago when I was begging Purpura to trade Lidge. Looking back, I am glad he didn't. We could have ended up with another JJ trade. But if in the end, this works out the way Wade probably wants it to, we could be looking at an '08 Astros of: Bourn, Castillo, Berkman, Lee, Pence, Wiggy, Towles, Everett, P.....Oswalt, Willis, Backe, Patton/Wandy, Woody,,,,with (lefty),Paulino, Sarfate, Geary, Linebrink, Qualls, Cordero.

I would bet on that team!! It may end up that this trade was the catalyst for this team becoming contenders again. But only time will tell, until then. Keep the faith! Go Astros!

Lidge To Phillies

Written by Baqqs on 12:36 AM

HOUSTON, TX -- The Houston Astros today acquired outfielder Michael Bourn, third baseman Michael Costanzo, and right-handed pitcher Geoff Geary from the Philadelphia Phillies in exchange for right-handed pitcher Brad Lidge and infielder Eric Bruntlett. The announcement was made by Astros General Manager Ed Wade.
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"One of our goals coming into the offseason was to find a quality speed centerfielder who could hit at the top of the order and give us a spark," said Wade. "Bourn is an outstanding young player who will make an immediate impact and should be productive for a long time. Plus, his addition allows us to move Hunter Pence to right field, where he will continue to grow into the All-Star caliber player that we know he's capable of becoming.

"While Bourn was the key to the deal for us, we also believe that Geoff Geary will do a solid job in our bullpen, and Mike Costanzo is an outstanding power prospect at third base.

"Brad Lidge and Eric Bruntlett have been outstanding members of the Astros' organization. We weren't anxious to trade either player, but this deal makes sense for both the Astros and the Phillies."

During his first full season in the Majors, Bourn hit .277 (33-for-119) with one home run, three doubles, three triples, six RBI and 18 stolen bases in 105 games for Philadelphia. The 24-year-old, left-handed hitter has hit .268 (34-for-127) with six RBI and 19 stolen bases in 122 career games over two seasons from 2006-07. Bourn was originally selected by Houston in the 19th round of the June 2000 draft but did not sign. He was later drafted by the Phillies in 2003 in the fourth round after playing three years at the University of Houston.

Costanzo, 24, hit .270 (137-for-508) with 27 home runs and 86 RBI in 137 games for the Double-A Reading Phillies in 2007. The 2007 Eastern League All-Star ranked second in the Eastern League in home runs and third in runs scored (92). He was a second-round selection in the June 2005 draft from Coastal Carolina University.

Geary, 31, was 3-1 with a 4.41 ERA (33 ER/67.1 IP) and 38 strikeouts in 57 relief appearances for the Phillies last season. He also made 14 appearances at Triple-A Ottawa, going 2-1 with a 2.52 ERA (7 ER/25 IP) and 21 strikeouts. Geary is 13-4 with a 3.94 ERA (117 ER/267.1 IP) and one save in 216 career games over five seasons with Philadelphia. He joined the Phillies in 1998 after being selected in the 15th round of the June 1998 draft.

The 30-year-old Lidge finished the 2007 season 5-3 with a 3.36 ERA (25 ER/67 IP), including 19 saves and 88 strikeouts in 66 games for the Astros. In six Major League seasons with Houston, Lidge is 23-20 with a 3.30 ERA (147 ER/401 IP). He has 123 saves in 378 appearances, ranking third on the Astros career saves list.

Bruntlett, 29, completed his fifth season with the Astros in 2007 and hit .246 (34-for-138) with 14 RBI in 80 games. He recorded career-high totals in hits (34), at-bats (138) and walks (20) in 2007. During his five big league seasons, Bruntlett has hit .250 (118-for-472) with nine home runs and 50 RBI in 320 career games.

Astro Minors Under The Radar

Written by Baqqs on 12:33 AM

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1. Sammy Gervacio (P)
Out of the seemingly bleak Houston Astros minor league system,
one reliever shines. Sammy Gervacio has been a diamond in the
rough. Signed in 2002 as a non-drafted free agent,
this 22 yr old reliever is making a splash at every level.
Although Sammy has yet to break into Baseball America's Top 10
Prospects for the Astros, Sammy has yet to post an ERA over 3.00
in the past three seasons working his way up from RK league
Greenville to this past year where he split time in High A Salem
and AA Corpus Christi. While in Salem, his 18 saves ranked him
second in The Carolina League. The most promising stat about
Sammy is his K/9 ratio. His minor league avg is a handsome 11.33k/9.

Look for Gervacio to either start or quickly join The Express
in 2008 and pending his 2008 performance, look to see him as a
September Call-Up. This may prove to be important as the Astros
may be in need of a closer for the '09 season.

Sammy's line (2007-A+/AA) : 78IP 2.31 ERA/ 1.06 WHIP/ 11.27K/9
(Carolina League All-Star)

Houston Astros Salaries

Written by Baqqs on 4:00 PM


2007 GM Meetings

Written by Baqqs on 8:34 PM

Tomorrow Ed Wade will jump into the GM Meetings with
something to prove. Ed has stated several times that he
is willing to look at any and all ways to improve in any
position on the field. For those of us who have been
paying attention, Ed has made it known that atop his list
of priorities is CF. This off-season is rare in the fact that
there are many good free agent CF's. Although Ed can't sign
anyone, or even discuss money with players until Nov 13, he can
and hopefully will be diving head first into the trade market.
With Ed's interest in both Torii Hunter and 2B Luis Castillo,
two major players may be left homeless and thus perfect candidates
for a trade. Luke Scott and Chris Burke will most likely be the best
chips the Astros have to offer, and may prove to be better than expected.
There are several teams who seem to be in need of a power bat, with the Twins atop that list. Burke may not have nearly the same following but could be packaged with either Scott or a pitcher like Wandy.These next few days should give all us Astro fans a much better idea of where this team will be heading into next season.

Important Dates:

Nov 5-8 GM Meetings (Orlando)
Nov 13 Free agents may negotiate and sign with a new club.
Nov 14-15 Owners Meetings (Naples)
Nov 20 Day to file reserve lists for all Minor League levels and Major Leagues

Dec 1 Last day for teams to offer salary arbitration to ranked free agents
Dec 3-6 Winter Meetings (Nashville)
Dec 6 Rule 5 Draft
Dec 7 Player deadline to accept arbitration
Dec 12 Last day to tender contracts to unsigned players

2007 vs 2008 Batting Order

Written by Baqqs on 10:58 PM

2007 BA/OBP
1)Biggio .251/.285
2)Pence .322/.360
3)Berkman .278/.386
4)Lee .303/.354
5)Scott/Ensberg/Lamb .259/.347
6)Lane, Wiggy/Loretta .259/.326
7)Everett/Brutlett .239/.314
8)Ausmus/Q/Munson .232/.304
9)P
Team BA/OBP minus P. (.267)/(.335)
Avg Runs Per Game/ 4.46
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2008
1)Castillo .301/.362
2)Pence .322/.360
3)Berkman .278/.386
4)Lee .303/.354
5)Hunter .287/.334
6)Wiggy .284/.342
7)Towles .301/.389*
8)Everett .239/.290
9)P

Team BA/OBP minus P. (.289)/(.352)
Avg Runs Per Game/ 4.97 **

*Indicates Minor League numbers
** Based on Lineup Musings For given Batting Order

Given the obvious increase in offense, a leadoff batter with an
OBP second highest instead of second lowest, a set lineup from
day 1, and much better defense up the middle, with a good showing
from our pitching staff the Astros look to be a formidable
opposition in 2008. This is all assuming that Ed signs Castillo and Hunter.
Also, keep in mind we won't have to deal with an injured JJ,
Sampson, and worse then normal Woody.
One can also assume that with this lineups increased speed and Cecil's aggressive baserunning philosophy, we can add up to 15-25 more SB's than last year. Let's all hope Ed can pull this off. So far, he has my confidence.

Same pitching analysis to come soon.